SpaceX reports its first public earnings, with a $100 billion unlock right behind
SpaceX reports as a public company on August 4, 2026, its first quarterly result since listing on the Nasdaq under SPCX in June.
The start has been rough. Shares priced at $135, peaked at $225.64, and have been trading in the $107 to $118 range, which is both under the IPO price and roughly 40 to 48 percent off the high depending on the day.
The second event in the same week
Two trading days after the report, on August 6, the first lockup tranche opens: insiders and employees can sell up to 20% of restricted holdings, about 911.5 million shares, worth well over $100 billion at recent prices. Elon Musk and a selected group stay locked until the middle of 2027, and the full lockup backstop runs to December 8, 2026.
What analysts are watching
Starlink subscriber growth and revenue per user, the distance between operating losses and cash generation, and how much of the AI and orbital compute story converts into actual guidance rather than narrative.
Earnings and a share unlock in the same week is an unusual stress test for a young listing. Whether the numbers or the unlock moves the stock more will say a lot about who owns SPCX and why.
Sources
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